Renters Reform Bill

Michael Gove’s much-delayed Renters Reform Bill has finally got its first reading in Parliament. Its purpose is to improve tenants’ rights and give them security of tenure in their homes and help local authorities tackle rogue landlords. As many of our customers at Homesite are landlords, we thought you should know how it might affect you. So, what exactly is in the reform bill?

 

  1. Section 21 Notices:The most contentious issue is the scrapping of Section 21 ‘no-fault’ eviction notices. Landlords will need to provide a specific reason for evicting tenants, using a Section 8 notice. Valid criteria include; anti-social behaviour, rent arrears, consistent late payments and any kind of criminal activity. Repossession orders can also be made if landlords are; undertaking a substantial remodelling that makes the property uninhabitable, if they are selling, or are returning the property to a holiday let. The problem is, repossession orders will have to go through the courts, where there is currently a huge backlog and so they could take up to 12 months. The government is proposing to create an ombudsman to mediate in any disputes and has said they will fast-track the court process but, to date, they have not put any of the relevant infrastructure in place.

 

  1. Rolling tenancies: Tenancies will automatically be assumed to continue unlike the current assured shorthold tenancies, which typically only last 12 months.

 

  1. Rent increases: The notice period for any increases will double to 2 months and be restricted to once a year.

 

  1. Pets: Landlords will not be able to refuse pets unless there is a valid reason if they are banned in the lease, for example. In mitigation, landlords can charge tenants for ‘pet insurance’ which should cover any potential damage.

 

  1. Landlord rating portal: Tenants will be able to rate their landlords as they do for Airbnb or Checkatrade. They will also be able to see their landlord’s letting history and give them a score.

 

  1. Property Ombudsman: New Private Rented Sector Ombudsman to be introduced to resolve landlord and tenant disputes. This already applies to landlords with letting agents but will be extended to all private landlords.

 

  1. Repeated serious rent arrears: These will be mandatory grounds for eviction and should close the current loophole where tenants can avoid eviction by paying their arrears just before a possession hearing.

 

  1. Minimum Housing standards: They currently only apply to social housing but will be extended to the private rental sector and properties should:
  2. a) Meet the current statutory minimum standard for housing and be in a reasonable state of repair.
  3. b) Have reasonably modern facilities and services (kitchens under 20 years old and bathrooms under 30).

For full details see: Government’s minimum housing standards

 

  1. Families and those on benefits: Tenants cannot be rejected solely on the basis that they receive benefits or have children.

 

It is likely to take around 12 months before the Bill becomes law. In the meantime, the Government will be watching anxiously to see if the steady stream of landlords leaving the market turns into a full-blown-exodus which could have serious implications for the long-term health of the entire rental sector.

 

If you’re a landlord and are looking to expand your portfolio we, at Homesite, can help – all you need do is to take a look at all the fantastic properties we have currently


6 Benefits of Property Management Notting Hill

Property Management Notting Hill

Whether you are planning to rent out your property for the first time or you’re an
experienced landlord with less time on your hands, utilising an estate agency’s
property management service is the perfect, time-saving solution.

Here at Homesite we know that being a landlord can often seem overwhelming
with an ever-increasing list of legislation and compliance regulations to adhere
to. And that is on top of general property and tenant queries that may arise.
Below are just a few reasons why using an agency’s fully managed service will
make life as a landlord a little easier.

1. Dealing with the legal issues
As we have already mentioned, legislation in the lettings industry is hugely
important and is changing at a fast pace. You need someone to trust to take care
of the financial and legal requirements, and with a fully managed service, you can
do just that. A trained and experienced team will ensure legal requirements such as gas and
electrical certifications are in place and Energy Performance Certificates (EPC)
are up to date, amongst other things.

 

2. Finding quality tenants
A good agency will do their very best to find you a reliable, quality tenant – the
better the tenant, the better it is for everyone involved. Here at Homesite our
teams are well placed to put forward applicants and then use our high-quality
tenant referencing service. Long term, this should mean you’ll have tenants who
pay on time, take care of your property and maintain it well for you, so there is less
of a cost when it comes to re-letting the property.

3. As part of Homesite fully managed service we collect your rent and our
accounts department will work their magic to send the rental income into your
bank each month. As already mentioned, if a rent is late a good agent will be sure
to reach out to the tenant and have the awkward conversations, so you don’t
have to.
Additionally, should any significant tenancy issues arise, property management
will deal with, and guide you in areas such as tenant evictions and attending any
necessary court proceedings, should it get to this point.

4. Professional property maintenance
From time to time your property may need some maintenance and repair work.
Rest assured that a good agency will have a contacts book full of reliable
contractors who can get to the property fast and tackle the repairs, at a
reasonable cost to you. At Homesite, we will always let you know in advance
should we need to send a contractor out, but we will handle everything on your
behalf.

5. Maximising your income
Whilst keeping costs to a minimum it is also important to ensure the correct
market rent is being achieved. The market has moved quickly in recent times and
you can easily fall behind therefore not maximising your income but possibly still
suffering from inflation and rising interest rates. At Homesite, we will carry out
regular rent reviews and communicate to you whether we feel the rent should be
increased and if you’re in agreement, we will manage the rent increase process
for you.

6. And finally…peace of mind
A fully managed service is aimed at taking away any stresses while giving you
security and peace of mind. As a landlord you have a busy life and you want to
put your trust in an estate agency that will be easily contactable (past the 9-5
too) should your tenant require it.

At Homesite we make sure the little things don’t need to become big ones -
letting you enjoy your holidays and weekends or focusing on your career and
family, while we keep your property and tenants safe and sound.
If you have any questions about letting out your property or regarding any of our
property management services, get in touch with our team at Homesite today.


Make your property shine

We, at Homesite normally give you tips buying property. But what about if you are trying to sell - how can you maximise its appeal, especially in today’s more competitive market. Below are some simple tips for making it shine without spending a fortune:

 

1) Kerb appeal is incredibly important. If it doesn’t look good on the outside, potential buyers may not even bother to go inside:

Wash and clean external doors and windows.

Trim the hedges.

Sweep away the leaves.

Remove any weeds.

It is also worth considering repainting the front door and replacing the door furniture if looks a bit tired. It's amazing what a difference it makes if the entrance area looks clean and well cared for.

2) Hallways: They set the tone for the entire property. If they are dark, dirty and cluttered, any potential buyer will begin their viewing with a negative mindset.

Make sure there are enough hooks and cupboard space to remove clutter.

Replace any out of date light fittings and if the space is a bit dark, consider increasing the wattage of the bulbs.

If it's a bit cramped, put up a mirror to give the illusion of space.

Hallways take a bashing, so freshen up the paintwork.

If the carpet is really worn, cover the offending areas with a rug, or, if it is really bad, consider replacing it with some inexpensive carpet.

3) Sitting-rooms: They should look clean, comfortable, inviting and spacious.

Give the place a really good clean and possibly even a fresh coat of paint (neutral colours are best).

Buy a magazine rack and throw away any unwanted back issues.

Family photos should be packed away during the sales process. Any potential buyer/renter wants to imagine the house as their property, which is harder to do when there are hundreds of pictures of your family staring at them from every wall and table top.

Almost all the property magazines and TV programmes tell you to de-clutter and that’s for a very good reason – it makes the place looks bigger, brighter and better, so put all those ornaments in a box, ready for your impending house move.

It's the principal room in the house, so if the carpet is stained and worn, replace it.

If it’s dark, add an extra table light or a freestanding one - multiple light sources always look better than a single ceiling light.

Put some flowers on the mantelpiece.

4) Kitchens: A kitchen should look clean, up to date and have plenty of storage space.

Give it deep cleanse and a thorough tidy up.

Like every other room, decluttter it and remove excess items from cupboards - it will make them look bigger

Get rid of any of those straggly, half dead looking plants and herbs that commonly sit on the windowsills. Replace them with fresh flowers.

A cheap way to update a kitchen is to replace the cupboard doors and/or the handles. You can also replace a battered worktop with a relatively inexpensive one from a DIY store, or everyone’s favourite Swedish shop.

5) Bedrooms: These are all about cleanliness and storage.

Make sure they are super clean.

Need I say it – declutter and put away all those family photos.

Part-empty cupboards - as with kitchens, this can give the impression of generous storage space.

Buy some under-bed storage boxes - you can get them with wheels - then fill them up with any excess clutter.

Keep bed linen fresh and spruce things up with a throw and some cushions.

6) Kids rooms: These are often a problem area.

Take a a deep breath and then give it a major clean and tidy.

Take any posters down.

Paint over any lurid colour schemes.

If the kids won’t co-operate, offer them money and an on-going bonus for keeping the place tidy.

7) Bathrooms. These need to look and smell clean. The viewer will be thinking about whether they would want to take a bath in your bathroom, so try and make it as appealing as possible.

Make it shine.

Use fresh smelling cleaning agents.

Get rid of any mould.

Rinse down sinks and baths after every use.

No hairs, no toe nails!

Put excess cosmetic bottles in a cupboard.

Polish the mirror.

Chuck out the carpet if you have one and put down some tiles.

Buy a new bath mat.

Get out the best towels.

8) Garden: It should look clean and tidy and easy to maintain. If it's a mess, it will appear hard work.

Have a general tidy-up, sweep up the last of the winter leaves and cut back any dead plants.

Do the weeding.

Keep the grass neatly trimmed, as a well-cut lawn will make the whole garden look better.

Plant some fresh spring flowers.

Trim the hedges.

Replace any broken fence panels.

9) General points.

Smells are important, so air out the house after cooking spicy food.

Smoke outside.

Give the dog a bath and wash their bedding.

Finish off all those DIY jobs you’ve been postponing, because otherwise it will make your home look badly maintained and that is a HUGE turn off.

And finally, don’t turn the thermostat up too high or too low. The temperature can have a very real impact on the comfort of a buyer and can easily put them off a property.

 


The value of off-street parking in Notting Hill

The value of off-street parking in Notting Hill

With the number of cars on the road increasing every year, space is at a premium and the value of off-street parking is on the rise. At the same time, councils are creating evermore Controlled Parking Zones, so, more often than not, parking on the road means paying for a parking permit. And, with local Authorities’ (LA) budgets seriously over-stretched, those permits are being seen as a soft target for raising additional revenue.

The average permit costs £103.08 per year, but they vary wildly from area to area and the more polluting cars can be considerably more. Islington is the UK’s most expensive local authority, their permits topping out at £860. It’s not just London that is expensive, though, Manchester charges £750pa for a city centre permit and even the Scots can’t escape the extortionate charges, with Edinburgh’s permits costing up to £580pa. Westminster, on the other hand, is surprisingly reasonable, charging between £117.50-£166/year, depending on the car’s engine size.

Local Authorities claim parking permits only exist to protect parking spaces for local residents and/or to improve the air quality. At those kinds of rates, however, there is no doubt they are being used as a stealth tax and many LAs have announced steep price increases this year. In Lambeth, for example, some residents will be hit with a 385% rise and that’s for the low emission vehicles. In Aberdeen, permits have gone up 233%. And, in leafy Surrey, permits were up 60%.

Mind you, off-street parking is not all about avoiding permit fees, it’s also so much more convenient – there’s no daily fight for that elusive parking spot at the end of a long day - you are always guaranteed a space, even in the busiest of roads, which is especially useful when you are unloading your shopping or packing the car for a long journey.

Then there is the growing demand for home charging points. Currently, there are over 1.2 million electric and hybrid cars in the UK and another 448,000 forecasted to be registered in the next 12 months, but just 11,218 on-street chargers (source: ONS). And, in 2030, the sale of new petrol and diesel vehicles will be banned, so, if you can just pull onto your drive and plug-in, it will be a real bonus.

A drive is more secure, too, and can reduce the cost of your car insurance. Even if you don’t use your drive, you can make money from it by renting it out through a company such as Just Park, who claim you can earn up to £200/month in some areas of London.

Okay, with so many advantages, how much is off street parking actually worth? It depends on the area and the general availability of parking nearby, but research by Direct Line Insurance shows it is adds a 5% premium to new build properties (an average of £12,500). Another survey, this one by Virgin Money, suggests it adds just under 10% (£25,000) to the value of an average home. That is close to double the added value you might get from, say, updating a kitchen or adding a bathroom.

It means if you’ve got a decent sized front garden, it may be worth considering converting it into off-street parking. You will need to obtain planning permission to get a drop kerb put in, although around 30% are refused permission every year, mostly because the property is on a bend or the view of the road is impaired in some way. Your Local Authority will also charge you for putting it in - in some cases, a considerable amount of money, although the average is around £800 to £1,200. There’s also an application fee of between £70 and £100. If you are granted permission, you will then have to ensure that the materials you use are sufficiently robust to take the weight of a car and that, if its surface is non-porous, you will need to obtain planning permission. Then build costs are, typically, £30-£50/sqm block paving (one of the most common types) and tarmac, surprisingly, is a more expensive option at £50-£100/sqm.

You won’t be surprised to learn that, with all those benefits, it is an extremely popular alteration - applications have doubled over the last 20 years and, no doubt, the value of it will keep on rising.

 


Insulating external walls & EPC ratings

With the price of gas and electricity rocketing, we are all looking for ways to reduce our energy bills. But what can you do once you’ve insulated the roof and sorted out those draughty windows? In more modern homes, you can add some cavity wall insulation. Not only will it reduce your bills, you may also need it if you want to install any kind of heat pump. More importantly, it could soon be essential for rental properties - from 2025, they will need to achieve a minimum EPC rating of C or it will be illegal to rent them out. The problem is, for the majority of properties built before the 1920s, the walls will be solid and there is no cavity to fill. Fortunately, there are a couple of alternatives.

 

One option is to use external wall insulation (EWI). This is essentially an insulating jacket on the outside of the house. The good thing about it is that it causes very little disruption to your domestic arrangements, as all the work happens on the exterior of the house. It is a very simple process - insulating material is fixed to the outer walls and you can then choose your covering finish, the most common of which is either render or timber boarding. There are some drawbacks - due to the extra layers, the outside dimensions of your house will change and that means you may have to adjust things. Window and door openings will be reduced and gutters and downpipes may need to be repositioned. The other main drawback is that it is not ideal for brick houses, period ones in particular, as the original finish will be covered over.

If you are thinking of having some EWI fitted, there is some debate as to whether or not it requires planning permission.

The safest thing to do is to check with your local planning authority first, especially if you live in a conservation area or your house is a listed building. The costs will vary greatly depending on the size and complexity of the job. As a rough guide, according to Checkatrade, it is around £100/sqm or £7,000 for a typical mid-terrace house and £20,000+ for a detached house. And don’t expect instant returns. Your heating bills will come down, but it is estimated that you may have to wait up to twenty years before you recover your costs.

The second option is to add some internal solid wall insulation. In this instance, insulating material is fixed to the surface of internal walls and then covered by a plaster finish. This is a much more invasive process and is likely to cause disruption in almost every room in the house and so is probably best done during a major renovation. Like EWI, it will alter the dimensions of your house, reducing room sizes by between 60mm and 100mm per external wall, which, for small rooms, can be a serious problem. Also, like EWI, it may require you to reposition things, such as light switches, sockets, and radiators. Another disadvantage is that it can cause condensation problems within the walls themselves. This is normally cured by using special plasterboard with a damp-proof membrane but if you subsequently fix any pictures or shelves to it, you will probably hammer a nail straight through the membrane.

The cost of internal solid wall insulation is half the price of EWI at approximately £50/sqm and will take up to ten years to pay off. It is, though, the only real option for period brick houses.

 

If you’re a landlord and are looking to expand your portfolio we, at Homesite can help – all you need do is to have a look at all the fantastic properties we have coming up on our website and across our socials


How is the property market in Notting Hill reacting to the rising cost of living?

The latest data shows both buyers and sellers are adapting to the changing financial conditions more quickly than many had anticipated. Normally, at this time of year, asking prices show a marked increase as spring approaches. This year, the rising cost of living and mortgage rates mean budgets are being squeezed, slowing the previously frenetic pace of the housing market. In response, sellers have shown surprising restraint, keeping their asking prices down at more or less the same level as January. As a result, sales volumes are holding up well at just 11% below their typical pre-pandemic levels (2019) - a marked improvement on the 30% drop that occurred just after Liz Truss’ mini-budget.

 

It would be reasonable to assume sales to first-time buyers would be most affected by the current conditions, but their 7% fall is notably lower than the 11% average. That may well be because high rents and the lack of supply in the rental sector are making purchasing a property an increasingly attractive option.

Tim Bannister Rightmove’s Director of Property Science says:

“The frantic market of recent years was unsustainable in the long term, and our key indicators now point to a market which is transitioning towards a more normal level of activity after the market turbulence at the end of last year. Agents are reporting that they are now increasingly seeing buyers who have more confidence and more choice albeit with revised budgets to accommodate higher mortgage rates.”

The other main indices are all painting a fairly similar picture. Although Nationwide’s figures, show prices fell by 1.1% last month, they also reveal consumer confidence in the economic outlook is improving. Nationwide therefore believe the market will remain subdued for a while but that “Conditions should gradually improve if inflation moderates in the coming months as expected, easing pressure on household budgets. Solid gains in nominal incomes together with weak or declining house prices will also support housing affordability, especially if mortgage rates edge lower in the coming months.”

Halifax’s index shows prices rose by 1.1% in February but despite their more positive figures, they also believe the market will remain subdued.

Kim Kinnaird, Director, Halifax Mortgages, says:

"Recent reductions in mortgage rates, improving consumer confidence, and a continuing resilience in the labour market are arguably helping to stabilise prices following the falls seen in November and December. Still, with the cost of a home down on a quarterly basis, the underlying activity continues to indicate a general downward trend.”

 

HOUSE PRICES AND STATISTICS

Of the three most up-to-date indices, only Nationwide’s was negative. Rightmove’s and Halifax’s show the market stabilising.

Nationwide: Feb: Avge. price £257,406. Monthly change -0.5%. Annual change -1.1%
Halifax: Feb. Avge. price £285,476. Monthly change 1.1%. Annual change +2.1%
Land Registry: Dec: Avge. price £294,329. Monthly change -0.4%. Annual change +9.8%
Zoopla: Jan: Avge. price £260,800. Annual change +5.3%
Rightmove: Feb: Avge. price £362,452. Monthly change +0.0%. Annual change +3.9% (asking prices on Rightmove)

 

BUY-TO-LET

 

The small declines in national average rents over the last few months came to a halt with February’s 0.3% rise. It means rents have risen by 10.2% over the last two years, reaching £1,175pcm.

 

Andy Halstead, HomeLet and Let Alliance CEO, notes, though, that something different is going on in the capital. Unlike the rest of the country, the average rent decreased for the third month in a row. Back in November, rents had briefly risen above £2,000 pcm for the first time. There is no doubt, affordability is far more stretched in London, so rents may have hit a temporary ceiling, although demand remains incredibly high, supply constricted and voids are falling. In mitigation, tenants’ average salaries are also rising, but not as fast as rents.

 

Halstead says:

 

“It is still a little early to predict whether this will be a sustained pattern or whether London will follow the pattern of the wider country and see prices rise again in the coming months.”

What is clear is that the government needs to act soon to dissuade any more landlords from selling up, or shortages will become even more acute and rents will rise even higher.


Do gardens add value in Notting Hill?

It would seem a simple enough question. However, the answer is far from straightforward as there are so many different types of gardens and so many different types of properties. Size does matter, but only if your garden is larger or smaller than average for the area and big is not necessarily better. A large garden that requires a lot of upkeep is bad news for the busy owner of an urban flat and a tiny courtyard garden is bad news for the owner of a 4-bedroom house full of kids. The garden needs to suit the house. One thing you can be sure of is that a badly kept garden is going to have a negative impact on the saleability of your house, especially if it's the front garden, as it is key to the property’s kerb appeal. To complicate matters further, everyone’s idea of the perfect garden is different. For example, most of us want a low-maintenance one, but keen gardeners and retirees may want something more challenging. So, if you can’t be specific about garden values, how can you at least maximise its potential?

 

Designer or tidy up?

Should you get in a landscape designer? It depends. If you are preparing your house for sale, it’s normally best to just give it a really good tidy-up. Get the bins out of sight, clear away the dead leaves and trim the hedges. If you have a lawn, give it a mow and dig up those weeds. If your garden is a real mess or, conversely, if you are planning on staying a while, you may want to do something more radical and that may entail bringing in some professional help. Whatever your plans, to appeal to the widest possible audience, experts advise that maintenance should be one of the key considerations. And bear in mind, if you spend a lot of money, you are unlikely to get it back when you sell.

 

Outside living

In more urban environments, where space is tight, the benefits of a decent garden are far clearer cut. A good way, therefore, of maximising its value is to turn it into extra living space, which you can use for both cooking and socialising. Those types of gardens are even more desirable if they link seamlessly to the internal spaces. As an added bonus, they also tend to be low maintenance, as they are mostly made up of hard surfaces such as decking or paving, and only have planting on their peripheries. If you then install some lighting, you will also be able to use them at night.

 

Rooftop gardens

In the very heart of towns, any outside space is a major bonus. If you don’t have any, one option is to build a roof terrace. However, before you start, you will almost certainly need planning permission and you should also get professional advice about whether the roof can take the extra weight. Once you are over those hurdles, just imagine how much better (and more valuable) the apartment will be. Especially during the summer months. And, if there are a lot of similar flats for sale at the same time, it could well be a deciding factor.

 

Family gardens

The best family gardens combine several different functions. Just as with urban gardens, you should ensure there are areas for eating and drinking, but also places for children to run around in, for playing football, paddling pools and climbing frames. Ideally, there should also be space for an extension or a garden office. Mind you, if they are too big, they can be intimidating, as they require a lot of upkeep. Finally, water features may be popular in garden makeover programmes, but if you are putting a pond into a family garden, you should be aware that they are frequently seen as a dangerous hazard by buyers with young children.

 

If you are looking for a property where you can add value in Notting Hill, please do give us a call


Do road names really matter?

We attach a surprising amount of value to the names of the roads we live in. 3% of us are

willing to pay as much as £50,000 for a house with the right road name, according to a survey

by property portal OnTheMarket. And what we want most of all is anything that sounds like it’s

got some kind of regal connection, such as Royal, Palace, King, Queen or Crown, even more

so if you live in some of London’s prime locations, such as Marylebone, Mayfair, Hyde Park or

Regent’s Park.

 

Just under 40% of us would also be willing to pay a more modest £5,000 premium for a home in

King’s Road, Prince’s Avenue or Bishop’s Drive. 10% would be willing to part with an additional

£30,000. And our favourite? Royal anything. According to the survey, up to 14% of us would pay a

premium for a house with the word Royal in its road name.

 

According to the poll of more than 1,000 UK buyers, 30% said the reason why they were willing to pay

more for certain names was that they liked the extra prestige it added to their address. They did also

find, however, that there were regional variations and it seems people in the North East are either

more canny or less prone to snobbery, as only 19% of them were prepared to pay a premium,

compared to 43% in London.

 

A similar survey carried out by rival portal, Zoopla discovered that there was also a value placed on

the type of road name. They found the highest value properties tended to be called something ‘xxxx

Hill’, where prices were 50% above the average property price. Next was ‘xxxx Lane’ at 37%, ‘Mews’

(35%), ‘Park’ (29%) and ‘Green’ (23%). Houses on a road with ‘Street’, on the other hand, were worth

29% less than average, which was probably because it is the most common name and so covered a

wide variety of properties and locations.

 

In truth, these types of street names are not genuinely comparable to the ones that OnTheMarket

were looking at, as they tend to have a direct bearing on the quality of the properties, ie mews tend to

be in expensive areas and therefore have more expensive houses, as do Greens etc. However, a

Royal Mews has got plenty of snob value, as does King’s Hill. There are some road names that have

the opposite effect, such as Staines Road, Slag Lane (yes it does exist – it’s in Lowton Lancashire),

Crotch Crescent (Marston, Oxfordshire) and there is even a Minge Lane in Upton-upon-Severn,

Worcestershire.

 

Ultimately a name is not a criteria by which you should be choosing your next home and

OnTheMarket points out,

 

“There is no question that location is one of the most important elements when buying or renting a

new home, but it is interesting that a prestigious sounding street name can help to influence a buyer

or renter’s idea of price and worth.”

The top street name prefixes that house hunters would consider paying more for a property are (by

preference):

 

  • Royal (14%)
  • Palace (6%)
  • Crown (5%)
  • King (7%)
  • Queen (6%)
  • Prince (4%)
  • Princess (4%)
  • Duke (2%)
  • Duchess (2%)
  • Lord (3%)
  • Lady (2%)
  • Saint (2%)

• Bishop (2 per cent


What’s in store for house prices in 2023?

We thought you might be interested in what all the experts are saying about house prices in 2023. However, to put it into context, it’s to start with a review of 2022. The year began with mounting concern over inflation and, as a result, commentators expecting modest house price growth of between 3% and 5%. However, with three prime ministers, the war in Ukraine, spiralling energy costs, a new monarch, the cost-of-living crisis and a rising base rate, 2022 defied all expectations.

 

Driven by the disparity between supply and demand and the ongoing race for space, the housing market began the year briskly and prices rose by 0.3% in January. In February, growth accelerated to 2.3% - the largest monthly increase in 20 years. War, however, was looming and in March, Russia invaded Ukraine and the price of food and energy soared. Despite it all, house prices continued their upward trajectory, rising by another 1.7%. By May, although the base rate had hit 1.0%, house prices had reached a record high of £367,501 (+2.1%), the fourth record-breaking month in a row. It wasn’t until August that there was any kind of fall, but it was only the usual summer slowdown, as many buyers put their purchases on hold while they took their first holidays since the onset of Covid.

As autumn loomed, Boris was ousted, Liz Truss became Prime Minister and her now notorious mini-budget unleashed chaos on the financial markets. The base rate shot up to 2.25% and the average fixed-rate mortgage hit 6.65%. The appointment of Rishi Sunak as Prime Minister soon calmed things down but he has inherited some serious economic challenges - double-digit inflation is generating a wave of strikes, the bank rate has climbed to 3.5% and, although average fixed-rate mortgages have now come down to 5.24%, they are still a long way above the 1.59% of twelve months earlier. And, for the first time in 2022, house prices are reacting as you might expect – falling by 1.1% in November and by 2.1% in December. They still, though, ended the year 5.6% up on 2021. (Figs: Rightmove).

So, after such a tumultuous year, what on earth are the experts predicting for the housing market in 2023? The good news is, most believe inflation and mortgage costs have already peaked and should be coming down this year. However, with real wages falling and mortgage costs still high, especially when compared to the sub 1% rates we were used to, affordability is likely to become increasingly stretched, especially for first-time buyers. As a consequence, most experts are forecasting price falls of between 3% and 10%, with low transaction volumes and an ongoing reversal of the flight from the cities. The falls, however, would only partly undo the substantial house price gains made over the last couple of years.

 

2022: the facts

Nationwide: Dec 21 to Dec 22: National £262,068 +2.8%. London £528,000 +4.1%
Halifax: Dec 21 to Dec 22: National £281,272 +2.0%. London £541,239 +2.9%
Land registry (3 months in arrears): Oct 21 to Oct 22: National £296,422 +12.6%. London £541,7205 +6.7%
Zoopla: Nov 21 to Nov 22: National £258,100 +8.2%. London £541,720 +6.7%
Rightmove: Dec 21 to Dec 22: National £359,137 +5.6%. London £666,507 +4.6% (asking prices).

 

The predictions

Please note – where possible, figures from 2022 are from the predicting company’s own indices.

 

Nationwide
Last year, Nationwide was expecting the market to slow and prices to go up somewhere between 0% and 2%. Although their final figure was close at 2.8%, they had not, like most others, foreseen it would come after a prolonged period of rapid growth. For 2023, they have said there is likely to be a modest decline of around 5%.

 

Halifax
Halifax didn’t give an exact figure for their prediction last year but were expecting the market to cool. This year, they are factoring in an 8% fall but point out that that would only mean the cost of the average property returning to April 2021 levels.

 

Zoopla
Zoopla had predicted growth of 3% in 2022, which was some way below their figure of 8.2% (Nov). Their forecast was, however, far closer to the other indices’ figures of between 3% and 5%. For 2023, they have predicted prices will dip by 5%, with smaller falls in the more affordable areas.

 

Rightmove
Last year Rightmove expected high demand and a shortage of available property to push up prices by 5% nationally and by 3% in the capital. They were very close to their final of +5.6% nationally but were less so with London at 4.6%. Of all the commentators, Rightmove is expecting the softest landing for house prices in 2023, with a drop of just 2% and some wide variation across the UK.

 

A selection of other predictions

CEBR were somewhat wide of the mark with their expectations of a market slowdown but were closer with their prediction of a 2% rise. This time around, they are expecting house prices to fall by 4.5% by the end of 2023, but with a peak contraction of 6.2% in the third quarter.
EY ITEM Club were rather pessimistic with their prediction that growth would slow markedly in 2022 and that prices would only just remain in positive territory. And they are also some of the biggest pessimists about 2023, forecasting house price falls in double digits.
Capital Economics went for one of the higher predictions in 2022 - a rise of around 5% - but have gone into reverse for 2023 with their rather gloomy prediction of a 12% fall.

 


Make The Most Out Of Your Buy To Let Portfolio

Whether you’re an experienced landlord in Notting Hill or are buying to let for the first time, maximising your profits is sure to be your top priority.

Fortunately, there are plenty of actions you can take to make sure your portfolio is as profitable as it can be. Read on for our tips on how to get the most out of your buy-to-let portfolio in Notting Hill…

Review Your Rent(S) Yearly.
It’s a good idea to regularly check that the rent you’re charging is competitive. It’s also fairer to long-term tenants if rent goes up by a small amount each year, rather than staying the same for several years then increasing suddenly by a large amount.

Keep Costs And Regular Outgoings Under Control.
As well as reviewing the rent, you should keep an eye on your outgoings and see if there’s areas where you can cut back. If you pay the utility bills, for example, shop around providers to get the best deal.

Stay On Top Of Maintenance.
Keeping your properties well-maintained will make them easier to market when you need to find new tenants, and will also encourage existing tenants to stay in your property, reducing void periods (the time between tenancies when the property is empty) for you.

Kitchens And Bathrooms Are Key.
Make sure these rooms look their best – freshly decorated modern kitchens and bathrooms will enable you to ask for higher rents.

Invest In Good Quality Appliances.
It’s worth investing in high-quality appliances and white goods (if you’re supplying them), as you won’t have to spend money on frequent repairs or replacements.

Consider Allowing Pets.
The law now prevents landlords from automatically banning pets, although ultimately it’s still up to you whether you permit tenants to have them or not. But it is worth bearing in mind that tenants with pets are usually prepared to pay higher rents and are also likely to be financially stable and looking to commit to longer-term leases.

Maintain A Good Relationship With Tenants.
If you have reliable tenants who look after your property, try and maintain a positive relationship with them. Void periods mean a loss of income for you, so it pays to do what you can to keep good tenants.

Consider Setting Up A Limited Company.
There are tax benefits to operating through a limited company as well as specific legal protections. There are also a couple of disadvantages so it’s best to speak to a financial advisor before you make any decisions.

The first step towards making sure your rental properties are at maximum profitability is knowing exactly what they’re currently worth. Contact us today for an up-to-date valuation, and from there, we can offer expert guidance and help you start 2023 in the best possible position.

Get your property valuation here: valuation.homesite.co.uk

Tailored Services For Landlords
We offer a flexible approach to letting and property management, allowing you to choose exactly how hands-on you want to be as a landlord. We can simply find high-quality committed tenants, or we can provide a full management service, giving you peace of mind that your investment is in the safest hands. Our experienced lettings team are up-to-date with the latest regulations and legislation concerning the rental sector, so you can be sure you’re receiving expert guidance.

How We Market Your Rental Property
Our comprehensive marketing services are designed to showcase your property and attract high-quality tenants:

• Professional photography  • EPC charts  • Advertising your property on Rightmove, Zoopla, Prime Location and social media

How To Get Started
Any property questions you have, no matter how big or small – simply call our Notting Hill office on 0207 243 3535   Let’s discuss your options to get you moving in the right direction for 2023